The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader, and The Tourist open in wide release this weekend. Despite o... more
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader, and The Tourist open in wide release this weekend. Despite opening with $55 million in May of 2008, the Chronicles of Narnia looked as if they had hit a dead end when Disney abandoned the franchise. Prince Caspian's opening weekend was followed by steep weekend drop-offs which left the second Narnia with just over $140 million in domestic box office versus over $290 million for the first one. Throw in a massive budget in excess of $200 million and weak worldwide box office, it wasn't clear if there would be a third Narnia. Walden Media, the production company that co-financed the previous two Narnias, pushed forward with 20th Century Fox and a slimmed down budget for Dawn Treader (estimated around $140 million). The current poll on The Movie Insider is set at under or over $45 million weekend. That would be $10 million less than Prince Caspian and $20 million under The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe. The should be enough in ticket sales to open at number one, but the question will be how well it can hold on in subsequent weekends.
Also opening in cinemas, the Tourist with Angelina Jolie and Johnny Depp in the well-worn plot of romantically-involved secret agent. Despite the strong cast, box office tracking appears weak. The Hollywood Stock Exchange is pointing to a $30 million open, but one tracking source predicts a weekend gross under $20 million. Given that Ashton Kutcher and Katherine Heigl opened the somewhat similar plotted Killers to $16 million, it is difficult to see how Jolie and Depp can't significantly outperform, but we'll have to wait for until Saturday to find out.